April 17, 2015 - by David Hess
Last night we posted our 2015 NBA playoffs projections on the site.
As we did for the NCAA tournament, we’ve combined our raw models and ratings with data from other sources (e.g. NBA futures odds from the betting markets, which better reflect the impact of dynamics like teams resting players toward the end of the season), in order to craft a more accurate set of projections.
Along with those projections, we also released a suite of data, charts, and tools. Here’s what you’ll find in our newly updated NBA playoffs section:
This is our most powerful playoff tool. Pick any two playoff teams, and see all of the following for a hypothetical matchup:
Here’s a sample Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Golden State Warriors NBA Playoff matchup preview:
This table shows the latest series win odds for the current round. It will be updated every night with results from each day’s games.
These charts show the chance of every current series being won by each team in a specific number of games (for example, the chance the Spurs beat the Clippers in exactly 6 games is 23.4%). The data for these charts is frozen prior to each round, so you can come back and see how our projections did.
This table shows the probability of every team advancing to every round. It will be updated prior to each round (not after every game).
Right now our projected odds show the Cavs and Warriors essentially tied as co-favorites:
Each playoff team has a page showing series win odds and series length projections for every potential playoff matchup.
We hope you find these tools and data informative. Enjoy.
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