Category: Research

NFL Week 11 Betting Recap: Point Spread, Over/Under Results & Analysis (2020)

Home teams continued their surge in NFL Week 11, while Miami's outlier status in terms of yards per point finally came back to bite them.

NFL Betting: Finding Value In Four Midseason Futures Bets (2020)

Entering the home stretch of the 2020 NFL season, we highlight four NFL futures bets showing value based on our data-driven projections.

NFL Week 10 Betting Recap: Point Spread, Over/Under Results & Analysis (2020)

NFL Week 10 was a rough one for the Drews (Brees and Lock) and for anyone betting against a Tom Brady bounce-back spread cover.

NFL Betting: Searching For Midseason Value in the 2020 NFL MVP Odds

Entering Week 10, Russell Wilson is the current betting odds favorite for 2020 NFL MVP, but an analysis of past MVP winners casts doubt.

NFL Week 9 Betting Recap: Point Spread, Over/Under Results & Analysis (2020)

Jake Luton torched the Texans for a near-upset, passing numbers exploded, and Panthers coach Matt Rhule impressed with his risk tasking.

Evaluating The Potential Impact Of Coronavirus On Game Predictions [UPDATE]

Players testing positive for coronavirus is a concern as the NBA and NFL prepare to play. But how should this factor impact our game predictions?

NFL Betting: Are Teams With Extreme Yards Per Point Good Bets?

Yards per point is a stat that many data-driven NFL bettors watch. But do teams that excel in that metric early make for good bets?

NFL Week 8 Betting Recap: Point Spread, Over/Under Results & Analysis (2020)

NFL Week 8 featured dubious milestones for two winning teams, plus ATS results that show the big impact turnover luck can have on NFL betting.

NFL Betting: The ATS Curse Of Home Teams Seeking A Division Series Sweep

After first beating a division opponent on the road, NFL teams have done a very poor job covering the spread in the rematch at home.

NFL Week 7 Betting Recap: Point Spread, Over/Under Results & Analysis (2020)

One NFL team got its first point spread cover, while another dropped to 0-7 ATS. Plus, are the Chiefs showing a weakness bettors can exploit?

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