Texas Down, But Not Out For 2015 NCAA Tournament Bid

Texas has been in a tailspin lately, losing their last four games.  However, while they may be on NCAA tournament life support, the Longhorns aren’t dead yet.

20 Wins Gives Texas A Shot At An NCAA Bid

Three of Texas’s last four losses were on the road, and they were only favored to win one, their loss at home against Iowa State.

The Longhorns are favored by the betting markets tonight when they host Baylor, and should also be favored when they host Kansas State to close out the regular season on Saturday.  If they win both games as expected, they’ll have 19 wins on the regular season.

They’ll then have a chance to reach 20 wins as heavy favorites in their opening round tournament game (see all Big 12 tournament predictions), where they are currently projected to play TCU in an 8/9 matchup.

Big 12 Conference Tournament Projections

At 20 wins, Texas has a 41% chance to make the NCAA tournament according to our Texas bracketology odds.

21 Wins, And Texas’s NCAA Odds Look Good

However, if they can then win their 21st game against one of the top Big 12 teams, their chances to make the tournament jump all the way to 73%.

Texas 2015 Bracketology Projection

Essentially, if Texas plays as expected from here on out, then has one good day at the right time in their conference tournament, the Longhorns will be likely to make the tournament.

If you want to see the odds of all the teams to make the 2015 NCAA tournament, check out our full algorithmic bracketology projections.

Unlike human bracketologists, our projections incorporate the forecasted results for all games between now and Selection Sunday.