| Week | Week 7 |
| Date | Sunday, October 25, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PA |
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 421 | MIN | +6.0 | 46.5 | +237 |
| 422 | PIT | -6.0 | -269 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | Power Ratings | Minnesota 64% odds to win | |
| Pittsburgh | Similar Games | Pittsburgh 62% odds to win |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN +6.0 | Power Ratings | Minnesota wins by 4.2 | |
| PIT -6.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Pittsburgh 52% odds to cover | |
| MIN +6.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Minnesota loses by 5.0 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 46.5 | Similar Games | 53% odds to go over 46.5 points |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN +248 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 35% different from model | |
| MIN +248 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 10% different from model |
| Stat | MIN | adv | PIT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 29.6 | 23.0 | |
| Points/Play | 0.445 | 0.363 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +10.3 | +2.8 | |
| Yards/Game | 381.8 | 371.3 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.7 | 5.9 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 54.644% | 53.302% | |
| SOS PR | 28.2 | 25.7 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Stat | MIN | adv | PIT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 19.2 | 20.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.326 | 0.335 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 299.6 | 305.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.1 | 5.1 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.6 | 1.4 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.3 | -0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 46.6 | 48.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Record | MIN | adv | PIT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 12-4 | 9-7 | |
| vs Division | 5-1 | 2-4 | |
| vs Conference | 10-4 | 6-6 | |
| Streak | L1 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 9-0 | 6-2 | |
| Away | 4-5 | 3-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
| Record | MIN | adv | PIT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-6-1 | 5-10-1 | |
| vs Division | 4-1-1 | 1-4-1 | |
| vs Conference | 9-4-1 | 4-7-1 | |
| Streak | W3 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-3-1 | |
| Last 10 | 6-3-1 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 6-2-1 | 2-5-1 | |
| Away | 5-4-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||