Game Information
| Week | Week 5 |
| Date | Sunday, October 11, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Edward Jones Dome, St. Louis, MO |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 401 | MIN | -10.0 | 40.5 | -550 |
| 402 | STL | +10.0 | +470 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | Power Ratings | Minnesota 95% odds to win | |
| Minnesota | Similar Games | Minnesota 80% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN -10.5 | Power Ratings | Minnesota wins by 25.3 | |
| MIN -10.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Minnesota 59% odds to cover | |
| STL +10.5 | Similar Games - Pts | St Louis loses by 10.3 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 40.5 | Similar Games | 68% odds to go over 40.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN -565 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 10% different from model | |
| STL +485 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 3% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MIN | adv | STL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 29.6 | 10.9 | |
| Points/Play | 0.445 | 0.175 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +10.3 | -16.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 381.8 | 279.4 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.7 | 4.5 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 54.644% | 48.422% | |
| SOS PR | 28.2 | 23.9 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MIN | adv | STL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 19.2 | 27.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.326 | 0.429 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 299.6 | 372.8 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.1 | 5.9 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.6 | 1.2 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.3 | -0.8 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 46.6 | 52.1 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MIN | adv | STL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 12-4 | 1-15 | |
| vs Division | 5-1 | 0-6 | |
| vs Conference | 10-4 | 1-11 | |
| Streak | L1 | L8 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 1-9 | |
| Home | 9-0 | 0-8 | |
| Away | 4-5 | 1-7 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MIN | adv | STL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-6-1 | 7-9-0 | |
| vs Division | 4-1-1 | 1-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-4-1 | 5-7-0 | |
| Streak | W3 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-3-1 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 6-2-1 | 3-5-0 | |
| Away | 5-4-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||