Game Information
| Week | Week 16 |
| Date | Monday, December 28, 2009 |
| Time | 8:30 PM |
| Location | Soldier Field, Chicago, IL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 131 | MIN | -9.0 | 41.0 | -380 |
| 132 | CHI | +9.0 | +330 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | Power Ratings | Minnesota 72% odds to win | |
| Minnesota | Similar Games | Minnesota 66% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHI +9.0 | Power Ratings | Chicago loses by 7.5 | |
| CHI +9.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Chicago 56% odds to cover | |
| CHI +9.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Chicago loses by 5.8 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 42.0 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go under 42.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHI +345 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 6% different from model | |
| CHI +345 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 11% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MIN | adv | CHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 29.6 | 20.4 | |
| Points/Play | 0.445 | 0.337 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +10.3 | -3.0 | |
| Yards/Game | 381.8 | 310.3 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.7 | 5.1 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 54.644% | 47.804% | |
| SOS PR | 28.2 | 24.6 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MIN | adv | CHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 19.2 | 23.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.326 | 0.363 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 299.6 | 338.5 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.1 | 5.2 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.6 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.3 | -0.4 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 46.6 | 52.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MIN | adv | CHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 12-4 | 7-9 | |
| vs Division | 5-1 | 3-3 | |
| vs Conference | 10-4 | 5-7 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 9-0 | 5-3 | |
| Away | 4-5 | 2-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MIN | adv | CHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-6-1 | 6-10-0 | |
| vs Division | 4-1-1 | 3-3-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-4-1 | 4-8-0 | |
| Streak | W3 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-3-1 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 6-2-1 | 4-4-0 | |
| Away | 5-4-0 | 2-6-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||