Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Monday, November 23, 2009 |
| Time | 8:30 PM |
| Location | Reliant Stadium, Houston, TX |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 435 | TEN | +4.0 | 48.0 | +164 |
| 436 | HOU | -4.0 | -182 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | Power Ratings | Houston 64% odds to win | |
| Houston | Similar Games | Houston 56% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU -4.0 | Power Ratings | Houston wins by 4.3 | |
| TEN +4.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Tennessee 55% odds to cover | |
| TEN +4.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Tennessee loses by 1.8 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 48.0 | Similar Games | 53% odds to go under 48.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEN +179 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 0% different from model | |
| TEN +179 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 8% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | TEN | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 22.1 | 24.2 | |
| Points/Play | 0.358 | 0.372 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -3.0 | +3.4 | |
| Yards/Game | 351.4 | 383.1 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.7 | 5.9 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.585% | 53.163% | |
| SOS PR | 24.0 | 24.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | TEN | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 25.1 | 20.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.387 | 0.342 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 365.6 | 324.9 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.6 | 5.3 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 1.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.2 | -0.1 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 51.3 | 52.1 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | TEN | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-8 | 9-7 | |
| vs Division | 2-4 | 1-5 | |
| vs Conference | 4-8 | 6-6 | |
| Streak | W1 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 5-3 | 4-4 | |
| Away | 3-5 | 5-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | TEN | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-9-0 | 7-7-2 | |
| vs Division | 2-4-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-8-0 | 6-5-1 | |
| Streak | L3 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 4-4-2 | |
| Home | 4-4-0 | 2-4-2 | |
| Away | 3-5-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||