Game Information
| Week | Week 16 |
| Date | Sunday, December 27, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Dolphins Stadium, Miami, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 | HOU | +1.0 | 47.0 | +114 |
| 112 | MIA | -1.0 | -124 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | Power Ratings | Miami 61% odds to win | |
| Miami | Similar Games | Miami 62% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA -1.0 | Power Ratings | Miami wins by 3.3 | |
| MIA -1.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Miami 51% odds to cover | |
| MIA -1.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Miami wins by 4.2 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 46.0 | Similar Games | 51% odds to go over 46.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA -120 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 6% different from model | |
| MIA -120 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 8% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 24.2 | 22.5 | |
| Points/Play | 0.372 | 0.331 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +3.4 | -1.9 | |
| Yards/Game | 383.1 | 337.6 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.9 | 5.0 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 53.163% | 53.221% | |
| SOS PR | 24.1 | 26.6 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 20.8 | 24.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.342 | 0.403 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 324.9 | 349.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.3 | 5.8 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 1.3 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.1 | -0.4 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 52.1 | 40.0 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-7 | 7-9 | |
| vs Division | 1-5 | 4-2 | |
| vs Conference | 6-6 | 5-7 | |
| Streak | W4 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 4-4 | 4-4 | |
| Away | 5-3 | 3-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-7-2 | 8-8-0 | |
| vs Division | 2-4-0 | 5-1-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-5-1 | 7-5-0 | |
| Streak | P1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-4-2 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-2 | 3-5-0 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||