Game Information
| Week | Week 9 |
| Date | Sunday, November 8, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 407 | HOU | +7.5 | 50.5 | +300 |
| 408 | IND | -7.5 | -340 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis | Power Ratings | Indianapolis 70% odds to win | |
| Indianapolis | Similar Games | Indianapolis 79% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU +9.0 | Power Ratings | Houston loses by 6.9 | |
| IND -9.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Indianapolis 61% odds to cover | |
| IND -9.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Indianapolis wins by 11.1 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 49.5 | Similar Games | 51% odds to go under 49.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU +320 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 6% different from model | |
| IND -370 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | IND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 24.2 | 25.9 | |
| Points/Play | 0.372 | 0.417 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +3.4 | +7.7 | |
| Yards/Game | 383.1 | 363.6 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.9 | 5.9 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 53.163% | 47.043% | |
| SOS PR | 24.1 | 28.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | IND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 20.8 | 18.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.342 | 0.273 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 324.9 | 338.1 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.3 | 5.1 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 1.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.1 | +0.3 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 52.1 | 32.0 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | IND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-7 | 14-2 | |
| vs Division | 1-5 | 6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-6 | 12-2 | |
| Streak | W4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 4-4 | 9-1 | |
| Away | 5-3 | 7-2 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | IND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-7-2 | 12-6-1 | |
| vs Division | 2-4-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-5-1 | 9-4-1 | |
| Streak | P1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-4-2 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-2 | 5-4-1 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 7-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||