Game Information
| Week | Week 5 |
| Date | Sunday, October 11, 2009 |
| Time | 4:15 PM |
| Location | University of Phoenix Stadium, Phoenix, AZ |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 421 | HOU | +5.5 | 50.5 | +219 |
| 422 | ARI | -5.5 | -245 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | Power Ratings | Arizona 70% odds to win | |
| Arizona | Similar Games | Arizona 59% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARI -5.5 | Power Ratings | Arizona wins by 7.0 | |
| HOU +5.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Houston 59% odds to cover | |
| HOU +5.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Houston loses by 2.9 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 50.5 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go over 50.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| HOU +219 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 10% different from model | |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | ARI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 24.2 | 24.4 | |
| Points/Play | 0.372 | 0.402 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +3.4 | +1.4 | |
| Yards/Game | 383.1 | 355.6 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.9 | 5.9 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 53.163% | 49.344% | |
| SOS PR | 24.1 | 25.5 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | ARI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 20.8 | 23.1 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.342 | 0.354 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 324.9 | 358.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.3 | 5.5 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.1 | -0.4 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 52.1 | 53.6 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | ARI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-7 | 10-6 | |
| vs Division | 1-5 | 4-2 | |
| vs Conference | 6-6 | 9-5 | |
| Streak | W4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 4-4 | 5-4 | |
| Away | 5-3 | 6-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | ARI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-7-2 | 9-9-0 | |
| vs Division | 2-4-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-5-1 | 7-7-0 | |
| Streak | P1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-4-2 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-2 | 5-4-0 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 4-5-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||