Game Information
| Week | Week 8 |
| Date | Sunday, November 1, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Ralph Wilson Stadium, Orchard Park, NY |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 | HOU | -3.5 | 42.0 | -190 |
| 212 | BUF | +3.5 | +172 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | Power Ratings | Houston 59% odds to win | |
| Houston | Similar Games | Houston 55% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUF +3.5 | Power Ratings | Buffalo loses by 2.8 | |
| BUF +3.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Buffalo 50% odds to cover | |
| BUF +3.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Buffalo loses by 2.4 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 42.0 | Similar Games | 51% odds to go over 42.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUF +183 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 5% different from model | |
| BUF +183 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 10% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | BUF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 24.2 | 16.1 | |
| Points/Play | 0.372 | 0.283 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +3.4 | -4.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 383.1 | 273.9 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.9 | 4.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 53.163% | 46.375% | |
| SOS PR | 24.1 | 27.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | BUF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 20.8 | 20.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.342 | 0.300 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 324.9 | 340.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.3 | 5.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 2.1 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.1 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 52.1 | 53.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | BUF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-7 | 6-10 | |
| vs Division | 1-5 | 2-4 | |
| vs Conference | 6-6 | 4-8 | |
| Streak | W4 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 4-4 | 3-4 | |
| Away | 5-3 | 3-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | BUF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-7-2 | 8-8-0 | |
| vs Division | 2-4-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-5-1 | 6-6-0 | |
| Streak | P1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-4-2 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-2 | 3-4-0 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 5-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||