Game Information
| Week | Week 12 |
| Date | Sunday, November 29, 2009 |
| Time | 8:20 PM |
| Location | M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 227 | PIT | +9.0 | 35.0 | +300 |
| 228 | BAL | -9.0 | -340 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore | Power Ratings | Baltimore 62% odds to win | |
| Baltimore | Similar Games | Baltimore 71% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PIT +9.0 | Power Ratings | Pittsburgh loses by 3.7 | |
| BAL -9.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Baltimore 51% odds to cover | |
| PIT +9.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Pittsburgh loses by 6.8 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 35.0 | Similar Games | 54% odds to go under 35.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PIT +300 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 13% different from model | |
| PIT +300 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 4% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | PIT | adv | BAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 23.0 | 23.7 | |
| Points/Play | 0.363 | 0.378 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +2.8 | +7.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 371.3 | 342.1 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.9 | 5.4 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 53.302% | 48.843% | |
| SOS PR | 25.7 | 27.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | PIT | adv | BAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 20.2 | 16.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.335 | 0.262 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 305.3 | 293.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.1 | 4.7 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.4 | 2.1 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.2 | +0.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 48.3 | 65.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | PIT | adv | BAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-7 | 9-7 | |
| vs Division | 2-4 | 3-3 | |
| vs Conference | 6-6 | 8-6 | |
| Streak | W3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 6-2 | 6-2 | |
| Away | 3-5 | 4-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | PIT | adv | BAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-10-1 | 9-8-1 | |
| vs Division | 1-4-1 | 2-3-1 | |
| vs Conference | 4-7-1 | 6-7-1 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-3-1 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 2-5-1 | 5-3-0 | |
| Away | 3-5-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||