Game Information
| Week | Week 5 |
| Date | Sunday, October 11, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Ford Field, Detroit, MI |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 415 | PIT | -11.0 | 44.0 | -600 |
| 416 | DET | +11.0 | +470 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh | Power Ratings | Pittsburgh 80% odds to win | |
| Pittsburgh | Similar Games | Pittsburgh 67% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PIT -10.5 | Power Ratings | Pittsburgh wins by 11.8 | |
| DET +10.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Detroit 50% odds to cover | |
| DET +10.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Detroit loses by 6.1 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 44.0 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go over 44.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET +485 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 3% different from model | |
| DET +485 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 15% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | PIT | adv | DET |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 23.0 | 16.4 | |
| Points/Play | 0.363 | 0.253 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +2.8 | -14.5 | |
| Yards/Game | 371.3 | 299.0 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.9 | 4.6 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 53.302% | 48.240% | |
| SOS PR | 25.7 | 24.4 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | PIT | adv | DET |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 20.2 | 30.9 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.335 | 0.480 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 305.3 | 392.1 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.1 | 6.1 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.4 | 1.4 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.2 | -1.1 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 48.3 | 48.0 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | PIT | adv | DET |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-7 | 2-14 | |
| vs Division | 2-4 | 0-6 | |
| vs Conference | 6-6 | 1-11 | |
| Streak | W3 | L6 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 1-9 | |
| Home | 6-2 | 2-6 | |
| Away | 3-5 | 0-8 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | PIT | adv | DET |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-10-1 | 4-10-2 | |
| vs Division | 1-4-1 | 0-5-1 | |
| vs Conference | 4-7-1 | 2-8-2 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-3-1 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 2-6-2 | |
| Home | 2-5-1 | 3-5-0 | |
| Away | 3-5-0 | 1-5-2 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||