Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Sunday, November 22, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 411 | PIT | -10.5 | 39.5 | -700 |
| 412 | KAN | +10.5 | +570 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh | Power Ratings | Pittsburgh 80% odds to win | |
| Pittsburgh | Similar Games | Pittsburgh 71% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PIT -10.5 | Power Ratings | Pittsburgh wins by 11.8 | |
| KAN +10.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Kansas City 63% odds to cover | |
| KAN +10.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Kansas City loses by 5.6 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 40.0 | Similar Games | 51% odds to go over 40.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| KAN +450 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 2% different from model | |
| KAN +450 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 11% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | PIT | adv | KAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 23.0 | 18.4 | |
| Points/Play | 0.363 | 0.289 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +2.8 | -8.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 371.3 | 303.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.9 | 4.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 53.302% | 46.148% | |
| SOS PR | 25.7 | 23.7 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | PIT | adv | KAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 20.2 | 26.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.335 | 0.399 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 305.3 | 388.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.1 | 5.8 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.4 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.2 | +0.1 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 48.3 | 41.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | PIT | adv | KAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-7 | 4-12 | |
| vs Division | 2-4 | 2-4 | |
| vs Conference | 6-6 | 3-9 | |
| Streak | W3 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 6-2 | 1-7 | |
| Away | 3-5 | 3-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | PIT | adv | KAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-10-1 | 7-9-0 | |
| vs Division | 1-4-1 | 2-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-7-1 | 5-7-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-3-1 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 2-5-1 | 2-6-0 | |
| Away | 3-5-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||