Game Information
| Week | Week 3 |
| Date | Sunday, September 27, 2009 |
| Time | 4:15 PM |
| Location | Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati, OH |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 425 | PIT | -3.5 | 36.5 | -172 |
| 426 | CIN | +3.5 | +157 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati | Power Ratings | Cincinnati 64% odds to win | |
| Cincinnati | Similar Games | Cincinnati 55% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN +3.5 | Power Ratings | Cincinnati wins by 4.4 | |
| CIN +3.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Cincinnati 63% odds to cover | |
| CIN +3.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Cincinnati wins by 1.1 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 36.5 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go under 36.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN +155 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 25% different from model | |
| CIN +155 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 16% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | PIT | adv | CIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 23.0 | 18.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.363 | 0.298 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +2.8 | +0.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 371.3 | 307.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.9 | 4.9 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 53.302% | 51.450% | |
| SOS PR | 25.7 | 25.9 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | PIT | adv | CIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 20.2 | 18.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.335 | 0.304 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 305.3 | 304.4 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.1 | 5.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.4 | 1.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.2 | -0.1 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 48.3 | 54.0 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | PIT | adv | CIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-7 | 10-6 | |
| vs Division | 2-4 | 6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-6 | 7-6 | |
| Streak | W3 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 6-2 | 6-3 | |
| Away | 3-5 | 4-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | PIT | adv | CIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-10-1 | 7-10-0 | |
| vs Division | 1-4-1 | 4-2-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-7-1 | 5-8-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 1-3-1 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 2-5-1 | 3-6-0 | |
| Away | 3-5-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||