Game Information
| Week | Week 14 |
| Date | Sunday, December 13, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115 | NOR | -10.0 | 50.5 | -430 |
| 116 | ATL | +10.0 | +370 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans | Power Ratings | New Orleans 78% odds to win | |
| New Orleans | Similar Games | New Orleans 75% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOR -10.0 | Power Ratings | New Orleans wins by 11.0 | |
| ATL +10.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Atlanta 60% odds to cover | |
| ATL +10.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Atlanta loses by 8.2 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 50.5 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go over 50.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATL +420 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 2% different from model | |
| ATL +420 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 6% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | NOR | adv | ATL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 32.6 | 22.7 | |
| Points/Play | 0.509 | 0.346 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +11.3 | +2.4 | |
| Yards/Game | 396.9 | 340.4 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.2 | 5.2 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 51.724% | 49.620% | |
| SOS PR | 28.2 | 28.3 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | NOR | adv | ATL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 21.3 | 20.3 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.325 | 0.326 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 364.3 | 348.9 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.6 | 5.6 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.6 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.9 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 51.1 | 41.5 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | NOR | adv | ATL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-3 | 9-7 | |
| vs Division | 4-2 | 3-3 | |
| vs Conference | 11-3 | 6-6 | |
| Streak | W3 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 8-2 | 6-2 | |
| Away | 8-1 | 3-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | NOR | adv | ATL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-9-0 | 11-5-0 | |
| vs Division | 1-5-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-9-0 | 8-4-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 5-5-0 | 6-2-0 | |
| Away | 5-4-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||