Game Information
| Week | Week 7 |
| Date | Sunday, October 25, 2009 |
| Time | 4:15 PM |
| Location | Dolphins Stadium, Miami, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 431 | NOR | -6.0 | 48.0 | -241 |
| 432 | MIA | +6.0 | +215 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans | Power Ratings | New Orleans 83% odds to win | |
| New Orleans | Similar Games | New Orleans 73% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOR -6.0 | Power Ratings | New Orleans wins by 13.8 | |
| NOR -6.0 | Similar Games - Odds | New Orleans 53% odds to cover | |
| NOR -6.0 | Similar Games - Pts | New Orleans wins by 7.2 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 48.0 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go over 48.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOR -240 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 12% different from model | |
| NOR -240 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 3% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | NOR | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 32.6 | 22.5 | |
| Points/Play | 0.509 | 0.331 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +11.3 | -1.9 | |
| Yards/Game | 396.9 | 337.6 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.2 | 5.0 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 51.724% | 53.221% | |
| SOS PR | 28.2 | 26.6 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | NOR | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 21.3 | 24.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.325 | 0.403 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 364.3 | 349.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.6 | 5.8 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.6 | 1.3 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.9 | -0.4 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 51.1 | 40.0 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | NOR | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-3 | 7-9 | |
| vs Division | 4-2 | 4-2 | |
| vs Conference | 11-3 | 5-7 | |
| Streak | W3 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 8-2 | 4-4 | |
| Away | 8-1 | 3-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | NOR | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-9-0 | 8-8-0 | |
| vs Division | 1-5-0 | 5-1-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-9-0 | 7-5-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 5-5-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Away | 5-4-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||