Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Sunday, November 22, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 423 | NOR | -10.5 | 51.0 | -500 |
| 424 | TAM | +10.5 | +420 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans | Power Ratings | New Orleans 83% odds to win | |
| New Orleans | Similar Games | New Orleans 74% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOR -10.5 | Power Ratings | New Orleans wins by 13.6 | |
| TAM +10.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Tampa Bay 58% odds to cover | |
| TAM +10.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Tampa Bay loses by 7.6 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 51.0 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go over 51.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| TAM +420 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 7% different from model | |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | NOR | adv | TAM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 32.6 | 15.2 | |
| Points/Play | 0.509 | 0.254 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +11.3 | -9.8 | |
| Yards/Game | 396.9 | 287.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.2 | 4.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 51.724% | 47.239% | |
| SOS PR | 28.2 | 28.5 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | NOR | adv | TAM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 21.3 | 25.0 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.325 | 0.385 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 364.3 | 365.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.6 | 5.6 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.6 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.9 | -0.3 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 51.1 | 43.5 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | NOR | adv | TAM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-3 | 3-13 | |
| vs Division | 4-2 | 1-5 | |
| vs Conference | 11-3 | 3-9 | |
| Streak | W3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 8-2 | 1-7 | |
| Away | 8-1 | 2-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | NOR | adv | TAM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-9-0 | 6-10-0 | |
| vs Division | 1-5-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-9-0 | 5-7-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 5-5-0 | 1-7-0 | |
| Away | 5-4-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||