Game Information
| Week | Week 13 |
| Date | Monday, December 7, 2009 |
| Time | 8:30 PM |
| Location | Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 365 | BAL | +4.0 | 43.0 | +191 |
| 366 | GNB | -4.0 | -211 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore | Power Ratings | Baltimore 51% odds to win | |
| Green Bay | Similar Games | Green Bay 50% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAL +3.5 | Power Ratings | Baltimore wins by 0.3 | |
| BAL +3.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Baltimore 58% odds to cover | |
| BAL +3.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Baltimore loses by 0.4 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 43.0 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go under 43.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAL +172 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 14% different from model | |
| BAL +172 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 13% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | BAL | adv | GNB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 23.7 | 29.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.378 | 0.456 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +7.3 | +9.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 342.1 | 386.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.4 | 5.9 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.843% | 53.712% | |
| SOS PR | 27.1 | 25.4 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | BAL | adv | GNB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 16.4 | 20.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.262 | 0.346 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 293.3 | 298.9 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.7 | 5.1 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.1 | 2.4 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.5 | +1.3 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 65.2 | 66.6 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | BAL | adv | GNB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-7 | 11-5 | |
| vs Division | 3-3 | 4-2 | |
| vs Conference | 8-6 | 9-4 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 6-2 | 6-2 | |
| Away | 4-6 | 5-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | BAL | adv | GNB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-8-1 | 11-5-1 | |
| vs Division | 2-3-1 | 4-2-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-7-1 | 8-4-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 7-2-1 | |
| Home | 5-3-0 | 5-2-1 | |
| Away | 4-5-1 | 6-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||