| Week | Week 10 |
| Date | Monday, November 16, 2009 |
| Time | 8:30 PM |
| Location | Cleveland Stadium, Cleveland, OH |
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 243 | BAL | -10.5 | 39.5 | -560 |
| 244 | CLE | +10.5 | +480 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore | Power Ratings | Baltimore 86% odds to win | |
| Baltimore | Similar Games | Baltimore 69% odds to win |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAL -10.5 | Power Ratings | Baltimore wins by 16.0 | |
| CLE +10.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Cleveland 59% odds to cover | |
| CLE +10.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Cleveland loses by 6.9 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 39.5 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go over 39.5 points |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAL -540 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 1% different from model | |
| CLE +460 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 14% different from model |
| Stat | BAL | adv | CLE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 23.7 | 15.3 | |
| Points/Play | 0.378 | 0.252 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +7.3 | -8.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 342.1 | 260.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.4 | 4.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.843% | 47.543% | |
| SOS PR | 27.1 | 22.9 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Stat | BAL | adv | CLE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 16.4 | 23.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.262 | 0.350 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 293.3 | 389.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.7 | 5.8 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.1 | 1.2 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.5 | -0.8 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 65.2 | 41.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Record | BAL | adv | CLE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-7 | 5-11 | |
| vs Division | 3-3 | 1-5 | |
| vs Conference | 8-6 | 5-7 | |
| Streak | L1 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 6-2 | 3-5 | |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
| Record | BAL | adv | CLE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-8-1 | 10-6-0 | |
| vs Division | 2-3-1 | 4-2-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-7-1 | 9-3-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W7 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 5-0-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 5-3-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Away | 4-5-1 | 5-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||