| Week | Week 14 |
| Date | Sunday, December 13, 2009 |
| Time | 4:05 PM |
| Location | LP Field, Nashville, TN |
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 125 | STL | +13.5 | 40.0 | +570 |
| 126 | TEN | -13.5 | -700 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee | Power Ratings | Tennessee 83% odds to win | |
| Tennessee | Similar Games | Tennessee 92% odds to win |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEN -13.0 | Power Ratings | Tennessee wins by 14.0 | |
| TEN -13.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Tennessee 57% odds to cover | |
| TEN -13.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Tennessee wins by 14.5 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 40.0 | Similar Games | 57% odds to go over 40.0 points |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| STL +570 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 2% different from model | |
| TEN -700 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 4% different from model |
| Stat | STL | adv | TEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 10.9 | 22.1 | |
| Points/Play | 0.175 | 0.358 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -16.3 | -3.0 | |
| Yards/Game | 279.4 | 351.4 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.5 | 5.7 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.422% | 47.585% | |
| SOS PR | 23.9 | 24.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Stat | STL | adv | TEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 27.2 | 25.1 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.429 | 0.387 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 372.8 | 365.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.9 | 5.6 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.2 | 1.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.8 | -0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 52.1 | 51.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Record | STL | adv | TEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 1-15 | 8-8 | |
| vs Division | 0-6 | 2-4 | |
| vs Conference | 1-11 | 4-8 | |
| Streak | L8 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 1-9 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 0-8 | 5-3 | |
| Away | 1-7 | 3-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
| Record | STL | adv | TEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-9-0 | 7-9-0 | |
| vs Division | 1-5-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-7-0 | 4-8-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 3-5-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Away | 4-4-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||