Game Information
| Week | Week 12 |
| Date | Monday, November 30, 2009 |
| Time | 8:30 PM |
| Location | Louisiana Superdome, New Orleans, LA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 229 | NWE | +1.0 | 57.0 | +113 |
| 230 | NOR | -1.0 | -123 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans | Power Ratings | New Orleans 59% odds to win | |
| New Orleans | Similar Games | New Orleans 66% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOR -1.0 | Power Ratings | New Orleans wins by 2.5 | |
| NOR -1.0 | Similar Games - Odds | New Orleans 56% odds to cover | |
| NOR -1.0 | Similar Games - Pts | New Orleans wins by 4.2 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 57.0 | Similar Games | 54% odds to go over 57.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOR -127 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 3% different from model | |
| NOR -127 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 10% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | NWE | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 25.9 | 32.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.387 | 0.509 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +7.2 | +11.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 385.5 | 396.9 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.8 | 6.2 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 54.609% | 51.724% | |
| SOS PR | 27.8 | 28.2 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | NWE | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 18.7 | 21.3 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.317 | 0.325 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 317.1 | 364.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.4 | 5.6 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 2.6 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | +0.9 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 46.1 | 51.1 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | NWE | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-6 | 13-3 | |
| vs Division | 4-2 | 4-2 | |
| vs Conference | 7-6 | 11-3 | |
| Streak | L2 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 8-1 | 8-2 | |
| Away | 2-6 | 8-1 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | NWE | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-8-2 | 10-9-0 | |
| vs Division | 2-4-0 | 1-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-6-2 | 5-9-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-5-2 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 5-4-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Away | 2-4-2 | 5-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||