Game Information
| Week | Week 7 |
| Date | Sunday, October 25, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Wembley Stadium, London, UK |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 423 | NWE | -15.5 | 44.5 | -1200 |
| 424 | TAM | +15.5 | +940 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England | Power Ratings | New England 95% odds to win | |
| New England | Similar Games | New England 79% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NWE -15.5 | Power Ratings | New England wins by 25.3 | |
| NWE -15.5 | Similar Games - Odds | New England 56% odds to cover | |
| TAM +15.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Tampa Bay loses by 10.6 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 44.5 | Similar Games | 66% odds to go over 44.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NWE -1175 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 3% different from model | |
| TAM +915 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 11% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | NWE | adv | TAM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 25.9 | 15.2 | |
| Points/Play | 0.387 | 0.254 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +7.2 | -9.8 | |
| Yards/Game | 385.5 | 287.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.8 | 4.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 54.609% | 47.239% | |
| SOS PR | 27.8 | 28.5 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | NWE | adv | TAM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 18.7 | 25.0 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.317 | 0.385 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 317.1 | 365.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.4 | 5.6 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | -0.3 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 46.1 | 43.5 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | NWE | adv | TAM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-6 | 3-13 | |
| vs Division | 4-2 | 1-5 | |
| vs Conference | 7-6 | 3-9 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 8-1 | 1-7 | |
| Away | 2-6 | 2-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | NWE | adv | TAM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-8-2 | 6-10-0 | |
| vs Division | 2-4-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-6-2 | 5-7-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-5-2 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 5-4-0 | 1-7-0 | |
| Away | 2-4-2 | 5-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||