Game Information
| Week | Week 5 |
| Date | Sunday, October 11, 2009 |
| Time | 4:15 PM |
| Location | Invesco Field, Denver, CO |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 419 | NWE | -3.0 | 41.0 | -164 |
| 420 | DEN | +3.0 | +149 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | Power Ratings | Denver 61% odds to win | |
| Denver | Similar Games | Denver 61% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN +3.0 | Power Ratings | Denver wins by 3.5 | |
| DEN +3.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Denver 64% odds to cover | |
| DEN +3.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Denver wins by 1.4 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 42.0 | Similar Games | 51% odds to go under 42.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN +145 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 21% different from model | |
| DEN +145 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 20% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | NWE | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 25.9 | 20.4 | |
| Points/Play | 0.387 | 0.316 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +7.2 | +0.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 385.5 | 341.4 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.8 | 5.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 54.609% | 49.821% | |
| SOS PR | 27.8 | 23.8 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | NWE | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 18.7 | 20.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.317 | 0.322 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 317.1 | 315.0 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.4 | 5.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 1.9 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | +0.4 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 46.1 | 50.0 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | NWE | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-6 | 8-8 | |
| vs Division | 4-2 | 3-3 | |
| vs Conference | 7-6 | 6-6 | |
| Streak | L2 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 2-8 | |
| Home | 8-1 | 4-4 | |
| Away | 2-6 | 4-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | NWE | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-8-2 | 9-7-0 | |
| vs Division | 2-4-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-6-2 | 6-6-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-5-2 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 5-4-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Away | 2-4-2 | 5-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||