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New England at Buffalo: Money Line Analysis

Sunday Sep 30, 2012 1:00 pm - Orchard Park, NY
Odds: New England by 3.5, Total Points: 48.5

Money Line Predictions

Value Pick Model Confidence
New England -190 Official TR Pick Model shows 1% value
New England -190 Similar Games Model shows 3% value
New England -190 Decision Tree Model shows 8% value
Buffalo +171 Power Ratings Model shows 5% value

Money Line Situational Trends

Record NE adv BUF
Season 4-13 11-6
vs Division 2-4 4-2
vs Conference 4-8 8-6
Streak L2 L1
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Last 10 2-8 7-3
Home 1-7 8-2
Away 3-6 4-5

New England Detailed Win/Loss Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Score Result Margin
09/10 Home Philadelphia 20-25 L -5.0
09/17 Home Miami 17-24 L -7.0
09/24 Away NY Jets 15-10 W +5.0
10/01 Away Dallas 3-38 L -35.0
10/08 Home New Orleans 0-34 L -34.0
10/15 Away Las Vegas 17-21 L -4.0
10/22 Home Buffalo 29-25 W +4.0
10/29 Away Miami 17-31 L -14.0
11/05 Home Washington 17-20 L -3.0
11/12 Neutral Indianapolis 6-10 L -4.0
11/26 Away NY Giants 7-10 L -3.0
12/03 Home LA Chargers 0-6 L -6.0
12/07 Away Pittsburgh 21-18 W +3.0
12/17 Home Kansas City 17-27 L -10.0
12/24 Away Denver 26-23 W +3.0
12/31 Away Buffalo 21-27 L -6.0
01/07 Home NY Jets 3-17 L -14.0

Buffalo Detailed Win/Loss Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Score Result Margin
09/11 Away NY Jets 16-22 L -6.0
09/17 Home Las Vegas 38-10 W +28.0
09/24 Away Washington 37-3 W +34.0
10/01 Home Miami 48-20 W +28.0
10/08 Neutral Jacksonville 20-25 L -5.0
10/15 Home NY Giants 14-9 W +5.0
10/22 Away New England 25-29 L -4.0
10/26 Home Tampa Bay 24-18 W +6.0
11/05 Away Cincinnati 18-24 L -6.0
11/13 Home Denver 22-24 L -2.0
11/19 Home NY Jets 32-6 W +26.0
11/26 Away Philadelphia 34-37 L -3.0
12/10 Away Kansas City 20-17 W +3.0
12/17 Home Dallas 31-10 W +21.0
12/23 Away LA Chargers 24-22 W +2.0
12/31 Home New England 27-21 W +6.0
01/07 Away Miami 21-14 W +7.0
01/15 Home Pittsburgh 31-17 W +14.0
01/21 Home Kansas City 24-27 L -3.0