New England at Buffalo: Point Spread Line Movement

Sunday Sep 25, 2011 1:00 pm - Orchard Park, NY
Odds: New England by 7, Total Points: 54

NE -7.0 Open -9.0 High -9.0
Last -9.0 Low -7.0

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2006 NFL season there have been 72 games where the closing line favored the away team by 6 to 8 points. In these games:

  • The team like New England won the game 54 times (75.0%)
  • The team like Buffalo won the game 18 times (25.0%)
  • The team like Buffalo did better against the spread, going 37-35 (51.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.4 points

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2008 NFL season there have been 127 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points less than the opening line.

In these games, the team like New England did better against the spread, going 62-61-4 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.1 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -7.0 -8.0 --
Open -9.0 -9.5 --
History
09/25 12:46 PM -7.0 -- --
09/25 11:26 AM -7.0 -- --
09/25 07:56 AM -7.0 -- --
09/25 04:03 AM -- -8.0 --
09/24 02:03 PM -- -8.0 --
09/24 08:16 AM -7.0 -- --
09/23 11:36 PM -7.0 -- --
09/23 03:56 PM -7.0 -- --
09/22 05:34 PM -- -8.0 --
09/21 06:03 AM -- -9.0 --
09/20 08:46 PM -9.0 -- --
09/20 04:56 PM -9.0 -- --
09/20 04:53 PM -- -9.0 --
09/20 11:03 AM -- -9.0 --
09/20 10:56 AM -9.0 -- --
09/20 07:13 AM -- -9.0 --
09/19 05:53 PM -- -8.0 --
09/19 03:46 PM -9.0 -- --
09/19 01:13 PM -- -9.0 --
09/19 08:56 AM -9.0 -- --
09/19 08:23 AM -- -9.5 --
09/18 09:16 PM -9.0 -- --