Game Information
| Week | Week 15 |
| Date | Sunday, December 20, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Ralph Wilson Stadium, Orchard Park, NY |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 309 | NWE | -6.5 | 41.5 | -320 |
| 310 | BUF | +6.5 | +280 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England | Power Ratings | New England 64% odds to win | |
| New England | Similar Games | New England 64% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUF +7.0 | Power Ratings | Buffalo loses by 4.2 | |
| BUF +7.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Buffalo 53% odds to cover | |
| BUF +7.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Buffalo loses by 6.3 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 41.0 | Similar Games | 50% odds to go under 41.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUF +253 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 8% different from model | |
| BUF +253 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 8% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | NWE | adv | BUF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 25.9 | 16.1 | |
| Points/Play | 0.387 | 0.283 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +7.2 | -4.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 385.5 | 273.9 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.8 | 4.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 54.609% | 46.375% | |
| SOS PR | 27.8 | 27.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | NWE | adv | BUF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 18.7 | 20.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.317 | 0.300 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 317.1 | 340.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.4 | 5.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 2.1 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 46.1 | 53.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | NWE | adv | BUF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-6 | 6-10 | |
| vs Division | 4-2 | 2-4 | |
| vs Conference | 7-6 | 4-8 | |
| Streak | L2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 8-1 | 3-4 | |
| Away | 2-6 | 3-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | NWE | adv | BUF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-8-2 | 8-8-0 | |
| vs Division | 2-4-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-6-2 | 6-6-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-5-2 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 5-4-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| Away | 2-4-2 | 5-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||