Game Information
| Week | Week 9 |
| Date | Sunday, November 8, 2009 |
| Time | 4:05 PM |
| Location | Louisiana Superdome, New Orleans, LA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 417 | CAR | +12.5 | 51.0 | +500 |
| 418 | NOR | -12.5 | -630 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans | Power Ratings | New Orleans 92% odds to win | |
| New Orleans | Similar Games | New Orleans 83% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOR -12.5 | Power Ratings | New Orleans wins by 21.7 | |
| CAR +12.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Carolina 62% odds to cover | |
| CAR +12.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Carolina loses by 11.0 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 51.0 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go over 51.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOR -630 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 6% different from model | |
| CAR +500 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 0% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | CAR | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 19.7 | 32.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.308 | 0.509 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +0.4 | +11.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 331.1 | 396.9 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.2 | 6.2 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 50.349% | 51.724% | |
| SOS PR | 29.1 | 28.2 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | CAR | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 19.2 | 21.3 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.316 | 0.325 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 315.8 | 364.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.2 | 5.6 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.3 | 2.6 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.4 | +0.9 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 43.6 | 51.1 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | CAR | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-8 | 13-3 | |
| vs Division | 4-2 | 4-2 | |
| vs Conference | 8-4 | 11-3 | |
| Streak | W3 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 5-3 | 8-2 | |
| Away | 3-5 | 8-1 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | CAR | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-7-0 | 10-9-0 | |
| vs Division | 5-1-0 | 1-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-4-0 | 5-9-0 | |
| Streak | W5 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 4-4-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 5-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||