Game Information
| Week | Week 14 |
| Date | Sunday, December 13, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 121 | CAR | +12.5 | 43.5 | +470 |
| 122 | NWE | -12.5 | -600 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England | Power Ratings | New England 76% odds to win | |
| New England | Similar Games | New England 88% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAR +13.0 | Power Ratings | Carolina loses by 9.6 | |
| NWE -13.0 | Similar Games - Odds | New England 55% odds to cover | |
| NWE -13.0 | Similar Games - Pts | New England wins by 13.6 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 43.5 | Similar Games | 53% odds to go under 43.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAR +505 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 8% different from model | |
| NWE -635 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | CAR | adv | NWE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 19.7 | 25.9 | |
| Points/Play | 0.308 | 0.387 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +0.4 | +7.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 331.1 | 385.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.2 | 5.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 50.349% | 54.609% | |
| SOS PR | 29.1 | 27.8 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | CAR | adv | NWE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 19.2 | 18.7 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.316 | 0.317 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 315.8 | 317.1 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.2 | 5.4 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.3 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.4 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 43.6 | 46.1 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | CAR | adv | NWE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-8 | 10-6 | |
| vs Division | 4-2 | 4-2 | |
| vs Conference | 8-4 | 7-6 | |
| Streak | W3 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 5-3 | 8-1 | |
| Away | 3-5 | 2-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | CAR | adv | NWE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-7-0 | 7-8-2 | |
| vs Division | 5-1-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-4-0 | 5-6-2 | |
| Streak | W5 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 3-5-2 | |
| Home | 4-4-0 | 5-4-0 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 2-4-2 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||