Game Information
| Week | Week 3 |
| Date | Monday, September 28, 2009 |
| Time | 8:30 PM |
| Location | Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, TX |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 431 | CAR | +9.0 | 48.0 | +320 |
| 432 | DAL | -9.0 | -370 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas | Power Ratings | Dallas 76% odds to win | |
| Dallas | Similar Games | Dallas 79% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL -9.0 | Power Ratings | Dallas wins by 9.6 | |
| CAR +9.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Carolina 56% odds to cover | |
| DAL -9.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Dallas wins by 9.5 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 48.0 | Similar Games | 51% odds to go under 48.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAR +325 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | CAR | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 19.7 | 22.1 | |
| Points/Play | 0.308 | 0.344 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +0.4 | +5.6 | |
| Yards/Game | 331.1 | 392.4 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.2 | 6.1 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 50.349% | 54.065% | |
| SOS PR | 29.1 | 28.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | CAR | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 19.2 | 16.6 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.316 | 0.272 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 315.8 | 317.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.2 | 5.2 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.3 | 1.4 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.4 | +0.1 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 43.6 | 53.7 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | CAR | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-8 | 11-5 | |
| vs Division | 4-2 | 5-2 | |
| vs Conference | 8-4 | 10-4 | |
| Streak | W3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 5-3 | 7-2 | |
| Away | 3-5 | 5-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | CAR | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-7-0 | 10-8-0 | |
| vs Division | 5-1-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-4-0 | 9-5-0 | |
| Streak | W5 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 4-4-0 | 6-3-0 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 4-5-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||