Game Information
| Week | Week 3 |
| Date | Sunday, September 27, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Edward Jones Dome, St. Louis, MO |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 413 | GNB | -6.5 | 42.5 | -265 |
| 414 | STL | +6.5 | +233 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay | Power Ratings | Green Bay 83% odds to win | |
| Green Bay | Similar Games | Green Bay 69% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| GNB -6.5 | Power Ratings | Green Bay wins by 13.6 | |
| STL +6.5 | Similar Games - Odds | St Louis 51% odds to cover | |
| STL +6.5 | Similar Games - Pts | St Louis loses by 4.4 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 42.5 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go over 42.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| GNB -260 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 10% different from model | |
| STL +228 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 0% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | GNB | adv | STL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 29.8 | 10.9 | |
| Points/Play | 0.456 | 0.175 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +9.3 | -16.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 386.5 | 279.4 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.9 | 4.5 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 53.712% | 48.422% | |
| SOS PR | 25.4 | 23.9 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | GNB | adv | STL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 20.5 | 27.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.346 | 0.429 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 298.9 | 372.8 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.1 | 5.9 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.4 | 1.2 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +1.3 | -0.8 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 66.6 | 52.1 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | GNB | adv | STL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-5 | 1-15 | |
| vs Division | 4-2 | 0-6 | |
| vs Conference | 9-4 | 1-11 | |
| Streak | L1 | L8 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 1-9 | |
| Home | 6-2 | 0-8 | |
| Away | 5-4 | 1-7 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | GNB | adv | STL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-5-1 | 7-9-0 | |
| vs Division | 4-2-0 | 1-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-4-1 | 5-7-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-2-1 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 5-2-1 | 3-5-0 | |
| Away | 6-3-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||