| Week | Week 12 |
| Date | Thursday, November 26, 2009 |
| Time | 12:30 PM |
| Location | Ford Field, Detroit, MI |
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 103 | GNB | -11.0 | 48.0 | -625 |
| 104 | DET | +11.0 | +495 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay | Power Ratings | Green Bay 81% odds to win | |
| Green Bay | Similar Games | Green Bay 77% odds to win |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| GNB -12.0 | Power Ratings | Green Bay wins by 12.7 | |
| DET +12.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Detroit 54% odds to cover | |
| DET +12.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Detroit loses by 9.3 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 47.5 | Similar Games | 54% odds to go over 47.5 points |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET +545 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 3% different from model | |
| DET +545 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 7% different from model |
| Stat | GNB | adv | DET |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 29.8 | 16.4 | |
| Points/Play | 0.456 | 0.253 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +9.3 | -14.5 | |
| Yards/Game | 386.5 | 299.0 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.9 | 4.6 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 53.712% | 48.240% | |
| SOS PR | 25.4 | 24.4 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Stat | GNB | adv | DET |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 20.5 | 30.9 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.346 | 0.480 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 298.9 | 392.1 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.1 | 6.1 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.4 | 1.4 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +1.3 | -1.1 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 66.6 | 48.0 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Record | GNB | adv | DET |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-5 | 2-14 | |
| vs Division | 4-2 | 0-6 | |
| vs Conference | 9-4 | 1-11 | |
| Streak | L1 | L6 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 1-9 | |
| Home | 6-2 | 2-6 | |
| Away | 5-4 | 0-8 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
| Record | GNB | adv | DET |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-5-1 | 4-10-2 | |
| vs Division | 4-2-0 | 0-5-1 | |
| vs Conference | 8-4-1 | 2-8-2 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 7-2-1 | 2-6-2 | |
| Home | 5-2-1 | 3-5-0 | |
| Away | 6-3-0 | 1-5-2 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||