Game Information
| Week | Week 14 |
| Date | Sunday, December 13, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | DET | +14.0 | 40.5 | +631 |
| 118 | BAL | -14.0 | -811 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore | Power Ratings | Baltimore 86% odds to win | |
| Baltimore | Similar Games | Baltimore 88% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAL -14.0 | Power Ratings | Baltimore wins by 16.0 | |
| DET +14.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Detroit 55% odds to cover | |
| DET +14.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Detroit loses by 13.1 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 39.5 | Similar Games | 50% odds to go over 39.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET +620 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 0% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | DET | adv | BAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 16.4 | 23.7 | |
| Points/Play | 0.253 | 0.378 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -14.5 | +7.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 299.0 | 342.1 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.6 | 5.4 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.240% | 48.843% | |
| SOS PR | 24.4 | 27.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | DET | adv | BAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 30.9 | 16.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.480 | 0.262 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 392.1 | 293.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.1 | 4.7 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.4 | 2.1 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -1.1 | +0.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 48.0 | 65.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | DET | adv | BAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 2-14 | 9-7 | |
| vs Division | 0-6 | 3-3 | |
| vs Conference | 1-11 | 8-6 | |
| Streak | L6 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 1-9 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 2-6 | 6-2 | |
| Away | 0-8 | 4-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | DET | adv | BAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-10-2 | 9-8-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-5-1 | 2-3-1 | |
| vs Conference | 2-8-2 | 6-7-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 2-6-2 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 3-5-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Away | 1-5-2 | 4-5-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||