Game Information
| Week | Week 16 |
| Date | Sunday, December 27, 2009 |
| Time | 4:05 PM |
| Location | Monster Park, San Francisco, CA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 125 | DET | +14.0 | 41.0 | +545 |
| 126 | SFO | -14.0 | -675 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco | Power Ratings | San Francisco 84% odds to win | |
| San Francisco | Similar Games | San Francisco 89% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFO -14.0 | Power Ratings | San Francisco wins by 14.5 | |
| SFO -14.0 | Similar Games - Odds | San Francisco 58% odds to cover | |
| SFO -14.0 | Similar Games - Pts | San Francisco wins by 15.7 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 41.0 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go under 41.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET +545 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 1% different from model | |
| SFO -675 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | DET | adv | SFO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 16.4 | 20.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.253 | 0.351 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -14.5 | +3.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 299.0 | 290.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.6 | 5.0 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.240% | 50.894% | |
| SOS PR | 24.4 | 22.4 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | DET | adv | SFO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 30.9 | 17.6 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.480 | 0.268 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 392.1 | 326.4 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.1 | 5.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.4 | 2.1 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -1.1 | +0.6 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 48.0 | 47.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | DET | adv | SFO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 2-14 | 8-8 | |
| vs Division | 0-6 | 5-1 | |
| vs Conference | 1-11 | 7-5 | |
| Streak | L6 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 1-9 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 2-6 | 6-2 | |
| Away | 0-8 | 2-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | DET | adv | SFO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-10-2 | 9-4-3 | |
| vs Division | 0-5-1 | 5-1-0 | |
| vs Conference | 2-8-2 | 7-3-2 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 2-6-2 | 5-3-2 | |
| Home | 3-5-0 | 5-2-1 | |
| Away | 1-5-2 | 4-2-2 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||