Game Information
| Week | Week 5 |
| Date | Monday, October 12, 2009 |
| Time | 8:30 PM |
| Location | Dolphins Stadium, Miami, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 427 | NYJ | -3.0 | 36.0 | -157 |
| 428 | MIA | +3.0 | +142 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NY Jets | Power Ratings | NY Jets 66% odds to win | |
| Miami | Similar Games | Miami 50% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYJ -3.0 | Power Ratings | NY Jets wins by 5.0 | |
| MIA +3.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Miami 58% odds to cover | |
| MIA +3.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Miami wins by 1.4 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 36.0 | Similar Games | 54% odds to go over 36.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYJ -158 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 5% different from model | |
| MIA +143 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 9% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | NYJ | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 21.4 | 22.5 | |
| Points/Play | 0.336 | 0.331 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +5.9 | -1.9 | |
| Yards/Game | 323.1 | 337.6 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.1 | 5.0 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 52.689% | 53.221% | |
| SOS PR | 28.6 | 26.6 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | NYJ | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 15.5 | 24.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.258 | 0.403 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 269.6 | 349.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.5 | 5.8 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.9 | 1.3 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | -0.4 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 44.0 | 40.0 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | NYJ | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-7 | 7-9 | |
| vs Division | 2-4 | 4-2 | |
| vs Conference | 9-6 | 5-7 | |
| Streak | L1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 4-4 | 4-4 | |
| Away | 7-4 | 3-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | NYJ | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-8-0 | 8-8-0 | |
| vs Division | 2-4-0 | 5-1-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-6-0 | 7-5-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 4-4-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Away | 7-4-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||