Game Information
| Week | Week 13 |
| Date | Thursday, December 3, 2009 |
| Time | 8:20 PM |
| Location | Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ont |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 301 | NYJ | -3.5 | 37.0 | -191 |
| 302 | BUF | +3.5 | +173 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NY Jets | Power Ratings | NY Jets 58% odds to win | |
| NY Jets | Similar Games | NY Jets 63% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUF +3.5 | Power Ratings | Buffalo loses by 2.3 | |
| NYJ -3.5 | Similar Games - Odds | NY Jets 52% odds to cover | |
| NYJ -3.5 | Similar Games - Pts | NY Jets wins by 5.1 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 37.0 | Similar Games | 56% odds to go under 37.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUF +179 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 6% different from model | |
| BUF +179 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | NYJ | adv | BUF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 21.4 | 16.1 | |
| Points/Play | 0.336 | 0.283 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +5.9 | -4.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 323.1 | 273.9 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.1 | 4.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 52.689% | 46.375% | |
| SOS PR | 28.6 | 27.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | NYJ | adv | BUF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 15.5 | 20.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.258 | 0.300 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 269.6 | 340.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.5 | 5.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.9 | 2.1 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 44.0 | 53.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | NYJ | adv | BUF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-7 | 6-10 | |
| vs Division | 2-4 | 2-4 | |
| vs Conference | 9-6 | 4-8 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 4-4 | 3-4 | |
| Away | 7-4 | 3-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | NYJ | adv | BUF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-8-0 | 8-8-0 | |
| vs Division | 2-4-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-6-0 | 6-6-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 4-4-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| Away | 7-4-0 | 5-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||