Game Information
| Week | Week 3 |
| Date | Sunday, September 27, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Reliant Stadium, Houston, TX |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 403 | JAC | +4.0 | 47.0 | +180 |
| 404 | HOU | -4.0 | -200 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | Power Ratings | Houston 57% odds to win | |
| Houston | Similar Games | Houston 53% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAC +3.5 | Power Ratings | Jacksonville loses by 2.0 | |
| JAC +3.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Jacksonville 55% odds to cover | |
| JAC +3.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Jacksonville loses by 2.5 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 47.0 | Similar Games | 50% odds to go under 47.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAC +179 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 7% different from model | |
| JAC +179 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 11% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | JAC | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 18.1 | 24.2 | |
| Points/Play | 0.287 | 0.372 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -5.6 | +3.4 | |
| Yards/Game | 336.6 | 383.1 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.3 | 5.9 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 50.043% | 53.163% | |
| SOS PR | 25.0 | 24.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | JAC | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 23.8 | 20.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.387 | 0.342 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 352.3 | 324.9 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.7 | 5.3 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.6 | 1.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.1 | -0.1 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 32.6 | 52.1 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | JAC | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-9 | 9-7 | |
| vs Division | 3-3 | 1-5 | |
| vs Conference | 6-6 | 6-6 | |
| Streak | L4 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 5-3 | 4-4 | |
| Away | 2-6 | 5-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | JAC | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-11-0 | 7-7-2 | |
| vs Division | 4-2-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-7-0 | 6-5-1 | |
| Streak | L4 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 4-4-2 | |
| Home | 2-6-0 | 2-4-2 | |
| Away | 3-5-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||