Game Information
| Week | Week 5 |
| Date | Sunday, October 11, 2009 |
| Time | 4:15 PM |
| Location | Qwest Field, Seattle, WA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 423 | JAC | +1.0 | 44.0 | +118 |
| 424 | SEA | -1.0 | -130 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville | Power Ratings | Jacksonville 70% odds to win | |
| Seattle | Similar Games | Seattle 57% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAC +1.0 | Power Ratings | Jacksonville wins by 6.7 | |
| SEA -1.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Seattle 51% odds to cover | |
| SEA -1.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Seattle wins by 2.6 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| Under 44.5 | Similar Games | 53% odds to go under 44.5 points | |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAC -108 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 18% different from model | |
| SEA -102 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 6% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | JAC | adv | SEA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 18.1 | 17.5 | |
| Points/Play | 0.287 | 0.268 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -5.6 | -6.9 | |
| Yards/Game | 336.6 | 316.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.3 | 4.9 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 50.0% | 45.9% | |
| SOS PR | 25.0 | 23.6 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | JAC | adv | SEA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 23.8 | 24.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.387 | 0.381 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 352.3 | 356.4 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.7 | 5.6 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.6 | 1.4 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.1 | -0.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 32.6 | 52.5 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | JAC | adv | SEA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-9 | 5-11 | |
| vs Division | 3-3 | 3-3 | |
| vs Conference | 6-6 | 4-8 | |
| Streak | L4 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 5-3 | 4-4 | |
| Away | 2-6 | 1-7 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | JAC | adv | SEA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-11-0 | 6-10-0 | |
| vs Division | 4-2-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-7-0 | 4-8-0 | |
| Streak | L4 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 2-6-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Away | 3-5-0 | 1-7-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||