Game Information
| Week | Week 16 |
| Date | Sunday, December 27, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | JAC | +9.5 | 44.0 | +372 |
| 118 | NWE | -9.5 | -432 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England | Power Ratings | New England 78% odds to win | |
| New England | Similar Games | New England 80% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NWE -10.0 | Power Ratings | New England wins by 10.9 | |
| JAC +10.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Jacksonville 52% odds to cover | |
| NWE -10.0 | Similar Games - Pts | New England wins by 11.3 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 43.5 | Similar Games | 56% odds to go under 43.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAC +390 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 1% different from model | |
| JAC +390 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 0% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | JAC | adv | NWE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 18.1 | 25.9 | |
| Points/Play | 0.287 | 0.387 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -5.6 | +7.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 336.6 | 385.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.3 | 5.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 50.043% | 54.609% | |
| SOS PR | 25.0 | 27.8 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | JAC | adv | NWE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 23.8 | 18.7 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.387 | 0.317 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 352.3 | 317.1 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.7 | 5.4 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.6 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.1 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 32.6 | 46.1 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | JAC | adv | NWE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-9 | 10-6 | |
| vs Division | 3-3 | 4-2 | |
| vs Conference | 6-6 | 7-6 | |
| Streak | L4 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 5-3 | 8-1 | |
| Away | 2-6 | 2-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | JAC | adv | NWE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-11-0 | 7-8-2 | |
| vs Division | 4-2-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-7-0 | 5-6-2 | |
| Streak | L4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 3-5-2 | |
| Home | 2-6-0 | 5-4-0 | |
| Away | 3-5-0 | 2-4-2 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||