| Week | Week 12 |
| Date | Sunday, November 29, 2009 |
| Time | 4:05 PM |
| Location | Monster Park, San Francisco, CA |
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 223 | JAC | +3.0 | 42.5 | +160 |
| 224 | SFO | -3.0 | -175 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco | Power Ratings | San Francisco 58% odds to win | |
| San Francisco | Similar Games | San Francisco 62% odds to win |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAC +3.0 | Power Ratings | Jacksonville loses by 2.5 | |
| SFO -3.0 | Similar Games - Odds | San Francisco 56% odds to cover | |
| JAC +3.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Jacksonville loses by 2.6 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 42.5 | Similar Games | 57% odds to go over 42.5 points |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAC +162 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 3% different from model |
| Stat | JAC | adv | SFO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 18.1 | 20.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.287 | 0.351 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -5.6 | +3.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 336.6 | 290.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.3 | 5.0 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 50.043% | 50.894% | |
| SOS PR | 25.0 | 22.4 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Stat | JAC | adv | SFO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 23.8 | 17.6 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.387 | 0.268 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 352.3 | 326.4 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.7 | 5.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.6 | 2.1 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.1 | +0.6 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 32.6 | 47.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Record | JAC | adv | SFO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-9 | 8-8 | |
| vs Division | 3-3 | 5-1 | |
| vs Conference | 6-6 | 7-5 | |
| Streak | L4 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 5-3 | 6-2 | |
| Away | 2-6 | 2-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
| Record | JAC | adv | SFO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-11-0 | 9-4-3 | |
| vs Division | 4-2-0 | 5-1-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-7-0 | 7-3-2 | |
| Streak | L4 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 5-3-2 | |
| Home | 2-6-0 | 5-2-1 | |
| Away | 3-5-0 | 4-2-2 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||