Game Information
| Week | Week 7 |
| Date | Sunday, October 25, 2009 |
| Time | 4:15 PM |
| Location | Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, TX |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 433 | ATL | +5.5 | 47.5 | +209 |
| 434 | DAL | -5.5 | -235 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | Power Ratings | Atlanta 73% odds to win | |
| Dallas | Similar Games | Dallas 63% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATL +5.5 | Power Ratings | Atlanta wins by 8.3 | |
| DAL -5.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Dallas 55% odds to cover | |
| ATL +5.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Atlanta loses by 4.6 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 47.5 | Similar Games | 54% odds to go over 47.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATL +204 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 40% different from model | |
| ATL +204 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 4% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | ATL | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 22.7 | 22.1 | |
| Points/Play | 0.346 | 0.344 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +2.4 | +5.6 | |
| Yards/Game | 340.4 | 392.4 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.2 | 6.1 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.620% | 54.065% | |
| SOS PR | 28.3 | 28.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | ATL | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 20.3 | 16.6 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.326 | 0.272 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 348.9 | 317.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.6 | 5.2 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 1.4 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | +0.1 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 41.5 | 53.7 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | ATL | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-7 | 11-5 | |
| vs Division | 3-3 | 5-2 | |
| vs Conference | 6-6 | 10-4 | |
| Streak | W3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 6-2 | 7-2 | |
| Away | 3-5 | 5-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | ATL | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-5-0 | 10-8-0 | |
| vs Division | 4-2-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-4-0 | 9-5-0 | |
| Streak | W4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 6-2-0 | 6-3-0 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 4-5-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||