| Week | Week 13 |
| Date | Sunday, December 6, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA |
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 345 | PHI | -4.0 | 43.5 | -215 |
| 346 | ATL | +4.0 | +189 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia | Power Ratings | Philadelphia 50% odds to win | |
| Philadelphia | Similar Games | Philadelphia 63% odds to win |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATL +5.0 | Power Ratings | Atlanta loses by 0.1 | |
| PHI -5.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Philadelphia 59% odds to cover | |
| ATL +5.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Atlanta loses by 4.7 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 43.5 | Similar Games | 61% odds to go under 43.5 points |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATL +201 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 17% different from model | |
| ATL +201 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 4% different from model |
| Stat | PHI | adv | ATL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 26.1 | 22.7 | |
| Points/Play | 0.430 | 0.346 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.2 | +2.4 | |
| Yards/Game | 356.8 | 340.4 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.9 | 5.2 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 46.302% | 49.620% | |
| SOS PR | 27.4 | 28.3 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Stat | PHI | adv | ATL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 21.8 | 20.3 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.335 | 0.326 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 327.2 | 348.9 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.6 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.3 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.7 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 56.9 | 41.5 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Record | PHI | adv | ATL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-5 | 9-7 | |
| vs Division | 4-3 | 3-3 | |
| vs Conference | 9-4 | 6-6 | |
| Streak | L2 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 6-2 | 6-2 | |
| Away | 5-4 | 3-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
| Record | PHI | adv | ATL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-8-0 | 11-5-0 | |
| vs Division | 3-4-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-5-0 | 8-4-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 4-4-0 | 6-2-0 | |
| Away | 5-4-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||