| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Sunday, November 22, 2009 |
| Time | 8:20 PM |
| Location | Soldier Field, Chicago, IL |
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 433 | PHI | -3.5 | 46.5 | -188 |
| 434 | CHI | +3.5 | +170 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia | Power Ratings | Philadelphia 60% odds to win | |
| Philadelphia | Similar Games | Philadelphia 57% odds to win |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHI +3.5 | Power Ratings | Chicago loses by 2.9 | |
| PHI -3.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Philadelphia 54% odds to cover | |
| PHI -3.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Philadelphia wins by 4.0 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 46.5 | Similar Games | 62% odds to go under 46.5 points |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHI +177 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 4% different from model | |
| CHI +177 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 6% different from model |
| Stat | PHI | adv | CHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 26.1 | 20.4 | |
| Points/Play | 0.430 | 0.337 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.2 | -3.0 | |
| Yards/Game | 356.8 | 310.3 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.9 | 5.1 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 46.302% | 47.804% | |
| SOS PR | 27.4 | 24.6 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Stat | PHI | adv | CHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 21.8 | 23.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.335 | 0.363 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 327.2 | 338.5 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.2 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.3 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.7 | -0.4 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 56.9 | 52.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Record | PHI | adv | CHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-5 | 7-9 | |
| vs Division | 4-3 | 3-3 | |
| vs Conference | 9-4 | 5-7 | |
| Streak | L2 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 6-2 | 5-3 | |
| Away | 5-4 | 2-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
| Record | PHI | adv | CHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-8-0 | 6-10-0 | |
| vs Division | 3-4-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-5-0 | 4-8-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 4-4-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Away | 5-4-0 | 2-6-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||