Game Information
| Week | Week 15 |
| Date | Sunday, December 20, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | LP Field, Nashville, TN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 307 | MIA | +4.5 | 42.5 | +204 |
| 308 | TEN | -4.5 | -230 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee | Power Ratings | Tennessee 66% odds to win | |
| Tennessee | Similar Games | Tennessee 58% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEN -4.5 | Power Ratings | Tennessee wins by 5.2 | |
| MIA +4.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Miami 59% odds to cover | |
| MIA +4.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Miami loses by 3.9 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 43.0 | Similar Games | 53% odds to go under 43.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA +211 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 2% different from model | |
| MIA +211 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 10% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MIA | adv | TEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 22.5 | 22.1 | |
| Points/Play | 0.331 | 0.358 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -1.9 | -3.0 | |
| Yards/Game | 337.6 | 351.4 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.7 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 53.221% | 47.585% | |
| SOS PR | 26.6 | 24.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MIA | adv | TEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 24.4 | 25.1 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.403 | 0.387 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 349.3 | 365.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.8 | 5.6 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.3 | 1.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.4 | -0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 40.0 | 51.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | TEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-9 | 8-8 | |
| vs Division | 4-2 | 2-4 | |
| vs Conference | 5-7 | 4-8 | |
| Streak | L3 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 4-4 | 5-3 | |
| Away | 3-5 | 3-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | TEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-8-0 | 7-9-0 | |
| vs Division | 5-1-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-5-0 | 4-8-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 3-5-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||