Game Information
| Week | Week 9 |
| Date | Sunday, November 8, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 415 | MIA | +10.5 | 47.0 | +490 |
| 416 | NWE | -10.5 | -620 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England | Power Ratings | New England 65% odds to win | |
| New England | Similar Games | New England 72% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA +10.5 | Power Ratings | Miami loses by 4.7 | |
| NWE -10.5 | Similar Games - Odds | New England 59% odds to cover | |
| MIA +10.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Miami loses by 9.1 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 47.0 | Similar Games | 54% odds to go under 47.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA +480 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 18% different from model | |
| MIA +480 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 11% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MIA | adv | NWE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 22.5 | 25.9 | |
| Points/Play | 0.331 | 0.387 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -1.9 | +7.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 337.6 | 385.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 53.221% | 54.609% | |
| SOS PR | 26.6 | 27.8 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MIA | adv | NWE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 24.4 | 18.7 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.403 | 0.317 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 349.3 | 317.1 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.8 | 5.4 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.3 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.4 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 40.0 | 46.1 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | NWE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-9 | 10-6 | |
| vs Division | 4-2 | 4-2 | |
| vs Conference | 5-7 | 7-6 | |
| Streak | L3 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 4-4 | 8-1 | |
| Away | 3-5 | 2-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | NWE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-8-0 | 7-8-2 | |
| vs Division | 5-1-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-5-0 | 5-6-2 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 3-5-2 | |
| Home | 3-5-0 | 5-4-0 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 2-4-2 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||