Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Thursday, November 19, 2009 |
| Time | 8:20 PM |
| Location | Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 305 | MIA | +3.5 | 42.0 | +165 |
| 306 | CAR | -3.5 | -183 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina | Power Ratings | Carolina 55% odds to win | |
| Carolina | Similar Games | Carolina 56% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA +3.5 | Power Ratings | Miami loses by 1.3 | |
| MIA +3.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Miami 58% odds to cover | |
| MIA +3.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Miami loses by 2.6 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 42.0 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go over 42.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA +169 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 8% different from model | |
| MIA +169 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 6% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MIA | adv | CAR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 22.5 | 19.7 | |
| Points/Play | 0.331 | 0.308 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -1.9 | +0.4 | |
| Yards/Game | 337.6 | 331.1 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.2 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 53.221% | 50.349% | |
| SOS PR | 26.6 | 29.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MIA | adv | CAR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 24.4 | 19.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.403 | 0.316 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 349.3 | 315.8 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.8 | 5.2 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.3 | 2.3 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.4 | +0.4 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 40.0 | 43.6 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | CAR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-9 | 8-8 | |
| vs Division | 4-2 | 4-2 | |
| vs Conference | 5-7 | 8-4 | |
| Streak | L3 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 4-4 | 5-3 | |
| Away | 3-5 | 3-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | CAR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-8-0 | 9-7-0 | |
| vs Division | 5-1-0 | 5-1-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-5-0 | 8-4-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | W5 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 5-0-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 8-2-0 | |
| Home | 3-5-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||