Game Information
| Week | Week 14 |
| Date | Sunday, December 13, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Municipal Stadium, Jacksonville, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 119 | MIA | +3.0 | 43.0 | +123 |
| 120 | JAC | -3.0 | -135 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville | Power Ratings | Jacksonville 51% odds to win | |
| Jacksonville | Similar Games | Jacksonville 58% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA +3.0 | Power Ratings | Miami loses by 0.2 | |
| MIA +3.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Miami 56% odds to cover | |
| MIA +3.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Miami loses by 1.8 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 43.5 | Similar Games | 54% odds to go over 43.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA +113 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 2% different from model | |
| JAC -123 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 3% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MIA | adv | JAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 22.5 | 18.1 | |
| Points/Play | 0.331 | 0.287 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -1.9 | -5.6 | |
| Yards/Game | 337.6 | 336.6 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 53.221% | 50.043% | |
| SOS PR | 26.6 | 25.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MIA | adv | JAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 24.4 | 23.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.403 | 0.387 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 349.3 | 352.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.8 | 5.7 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.3 | 1.6 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.4 | +0.1 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 40.0 | 32.6 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | JAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-9 | 7-9 | |
| vs Division | 4-2 | 3-3 | |
| vs Conference | 5-7 | 6-6 | |
| Streak | L3 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 4-4 | 5-3 | |
| Away | 3-5 | 2-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | JAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-8-0 | 5-11-0 | |
| vs Division | 5-1-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-5-0 | 5-7-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 3-5-0 | 2-6-0 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||