Game Information
| Week | Week 3 |
| Date | Sunday, September 27, 2009 |
| Time | 4:15 PM |
| Location | Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, CA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 423 | MIA | +5.5 | 45.0 | +214 |
| 424 | SDG | -5.5 | -240 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego | Power Ratings | San Diego 65% odds to win | |
| San Diego | Similar Games | San Diego 59% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA +5.5 | Power Ratings | Miami loses by 4.9 | |
| MIA +5.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Miami 51% odds to cover | |
| SDG -5.5 | Similar Games - Pts | San Diego wins by 6.3 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 45.0 | Similar Games | 51% odds to go under 45.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA +214 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 3% different from model | |
| MIA +214 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 9% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MIA | adv | SDG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 22.5 | 27.5 | |
| Points/Play | 0.331 | 0.453 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -1.9 | +7.7 | |
| Yards/Game | 337.6 | 359.1 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.9 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 53.221% | 49.802% | |
| SOS PR | 26.6 | 25.4 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MIA | adv | SDG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 24.4 | 19.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.403 | 0.320 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 349.3 | 323.1 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.8 | 5.2 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.3 | 1.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.4 | +0.4 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 40.0 | 38.6 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | SDG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-9 | 13-3 | |
| vs Division | 4-2 | 5-1 | |
| vs Conference | 5-7 | 9-4 | |
| Streak | L3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 9-1 | |
| Home | 4-4 | 6-3 | |
| Away | 3-5 | 7-1 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | SDG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-8-0 | 8-8-1 | |
| vs Division | 5-1-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-5-0 | 5-8-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-3-1 | |
| Home | 3-5-0 | 3-5-1 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||