Game Information
| Week | Week 12 |
| Date | Sunday, November 29, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Ralph Wilson Stadium, Orchard Park, NY |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 213 | MIA | -3.5 | 38.0 | -190 |
| 214 | BUF | +3.5 | +172 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | Power Ratings | Miami 67% odds to win | |
| Miami | Similar Games | Miami 65% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA -3.5 | Power Ratings | Miami wins by 5.6 | |
| BUF +3.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Buffalo 51% odds to cover | |
| MIA -3.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Miami wins by 3.7 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 39.0 | Similar Games | 62% odds to go under 39.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA -185 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 2% different from model | |
| MIA -185 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MIA | adv | BUF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 22.5 | 16.1 | |
| Points/Play | 0.331 | 0.283 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -1.9 | -4.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 337.6 | 273.9 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.0 | 4.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 53.221% | 46.375% | |
| SOS PR | 26.6 | 27.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MIA | adv | BUF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 24.4 | 20.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.403 | 0.300 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 349.3 | 340.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.8 | 5.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.3 | 2.1 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.4 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 40.0 | 53.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | BUF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-9 | 6-10 | |
| vs Division | 4-2 | 2-4 | |
| vs Conference | 5-7 | 4-8 | |
| Streak | L3 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 4-4 | 3-4 | |
| Away | 3-5 | 3-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | BUF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-8-0 | 8-8-0 | |
| vs Division | 5-1-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-5-0 | 6-6-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 3-5-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 5-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||