Game Information
| Week | Week 15 |
| Date | Saturday, December 19, 2009 |
| Time | 8:20 PM |
| Location | Louisiana Superdome, New Orleans, LA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 303 | DAL | +7.5 | 53.5 | +285 |
| 304 | NOR | -7.5 | -325 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans | Power Ratings | New Orleans 79% odds to win | |
| New Orleans | Similar Games | New Orleans 85% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOR -9.0 | Power Ratings | New Orleans wins by 11.4 | |
| NOR -9.0 | Similar Games - Odds | New Orleans 63% odds to cover | |
| NOR -9.0 | Similar Games - Pts | New Orleans wins by 13.7 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 53.5 | Similar Games | 53% odds to go under 53.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOR -342 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 2% different from model | |
| NOR -342 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 8% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | DAL | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 22.1 | 32.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.344 | 0.509 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +5.6 | +11.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 392.4 | 396.9 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.1 | 6.2 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 54.065% | 51.724% | |
| SOS PR | 28.1 | 28.2 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | DAL | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 16.6 | 21.3 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.272 | 0.325 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 317.6 | 364.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.2 | 5.6 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.4 | 2.6 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.1 | +0.9 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 53.7 | 51.1 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | DAL | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-5 | 13-3 | |
| vs Division | 5-2 | 4-2 | |
| vs Conference | 10-4 | 11-3 | |
| Streak | L1 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 7-2 | 8-2 | |
| Away | 5-4 | 8-1 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | DAL | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-8-0 | 10-9-0 | |
| vs Division | 4-3-0 | 1-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-5-0 | 5-9-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 6-3-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Away | 4-5-0 | 5-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||